Analysis: The market expects the US December CPI to rise 0.3% month-on-month. If this expectation is met, the Federal Reserve will wait for a clearer trend.

Data shows that the market expects the US December CPI to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year; core CPI is expected to rise 0.3% month-on-month and 2.7% year-on-year. Analysts warn that due to the government shutdown resulting in missing October data, some commodity and rental prices were artificially suppressed in November, potentially leading to a "technical rise" in December. If the data meets expectations, the Federal Reserve will continue to await clearer trends, especially cleaner rental and commodity readings. If it significantly exceeds expectations, the market may reassess the Fed's will and ability to combat inflation, while court rulings, judicial investigations, and employment trends will determine the direction in the coming weeks. (Jinshi)