On November 3, 2024, when BTC failed to break through the previous high and fell to $68,000, the risk aversion of cryptocurrencies rose, and the market share of BTC reached 60%. What makes people more desperate than the bloodshed of copycats is whether this industry will be good? The continued decline of VC coins, the on-chain fighting of MEME coins, the criticized centralized exchanges, the lower-than-expected interest rate cuts, and the US election that is about to reveal the answer... The dark clouds of confusion and uncertainty hang over every crypto player.
"How far back in history you can look, how far into the future you can see." Let's try to go back to the last moment of confusion and uncertainty, follow the map or look for the sword on the boat, to cook a bowl of chicken soup called "WAGMI".
We All Gonna Make It, We Will Win in the End
01 Anxious and Confused Western Time
Are you regretting missing out on AI meme tokens that are hundreds or thousands of times more valuable? Have you been staring at $GOAT $GNON $SLOP for a long time and can’t figure out what’s going on? Have you been staring at the $NEIRO contract and $neiro spot on Binance, trying to quickly find the CTO (Community Take Over) and other similar tokens to buy?
Going back six months, $BOME $SLERF, as well as $FIGHT surrounding Trump’s shooting incident and Musk’s Mars city concept of $TERMINUS $MARS, it is not an easy task to explain the narrative of these tokens, not to mention that @pumpdotfun has issued more than 2 million Meme tokens this year (data source: Cryptohunt.ai).
Relax, such anxious "disordered moments" are the characteristics of "Western time". As early as 2023, PEPE was born, and its market value exceeded 1 billion US dollars in three weeks. This kind of token created by Western players with the characteristics of "novel narrative + large funds pulling the market + rapid listing + continuous construction" has emerged in an endless stream, but the final construction (taking over) link was handed over to Eastern players.
"When will there be a narrative led by Eastern players, working together to pull the market and let foreigners take over?" After experiencing the anxious and confused Western time, users are eager to enter a time that belongs to the East. “Only Eastern players like to carve things on stones.” Zhu Su, the founder of Three Arrows Capital, who had just ended his four-month prison term, commented on Inscription Casting in a Space article.
At that time, the gas on BTC was constantly being pulled up because of the wealth effect of $ORDI, and people (mostly Asian players) were frantically minting various four-character BRC20s, and declared that this would become the universal token protocol for the next bull market: it’s time to migrate applications on Ethereum to Bitcoin!
The novel narrative appeared again, followed by capital pulling, rapid listing, and continuous construction.
During this period, BTC public chains such as @MerlinLayer2 @BSquaredNetwork @BitlayerLabs @build_on_bob announced financing, and @babylonlabs_io @SolvProtocol @IgnitionFBTC brought more gameplay such as staking to the BTC ecosystem.
On September 24, 2023, the casting progress of the ninth inscription $SATS on BTC successfully reached 100%, with a total of 21,107,258 castings and 36,061 holders.
On October 10, 2023, UniSat officially announced that BRC20-swap will be launched on the 25th, and stated that $SATS will be used as transaction fees. $SATS rose 10 times.
On November 7, 2023, Binance announced the launch of $ORDI, which is considered an important move for Binance to enter the BTC ecosystem. At this time, OKX launched $ORDI as early as May, and achieved rapid growth of Web3 wallets with the help of inscriptions.
Although Coinbase launched $ORDI in April 24, considering Binance’s influence on Eastern and Western users, the time when it launched $ORDI can be regarded as entering the “continuous construction” stage, but this time, it was Western users who took over.
03 The business is not even halfway started, but we have to debate with BTC OG firstFrom November when Binance launched $ORDI to April of the following year when Coinbase launched $ORDI, the development of BTC ecology has not been a smooth process. The main events are:
1.BTC OG: Inscriptions are an attack on the Bitcoin network
On December 6, Bitcoin Core developer Luke Dashjr said on X that "Inscriptions" were exploiting a vulnerability in the Bitcoin Core client Bitcoin Core to send spam to the blockchain.
Subsequently, the U.S. National Vulnerability Database (NVD) marked Bitcoin Inscriptions as a cybersecurity risk on December 9, calling on people to pay attention to the security vulnerabilities developed by Ordinals Protocol in 2022.
2. Runes were born in the quarrel
With the continuous debate with BTC OG, Runes are in a dilemma of disappearing with the client update. The discussion around Runes fork has become a new hot spot, during which BRC100, ARC20 and other assets have performed well.
Amid the controversy, Casey, the founder of Bitcoin Ordinals, released the highly anticipated Runes document in March. Runes allow Bitcoin transactions to etch, mint and transfer Bitcoin-native digital goods. Casey confidently stated that if the market value of Runes fails to exceed $1 billion, he will "commit seppuku live."
3. The continued decline of $MERL and the delayed issuance of coins by other projects
On April 19, 2024, $MERL was listed on OKX, and has since started to fall all the way. As of November, $MERL fell from a high of 1.74U to 0.25U, and its market value is still more than 500 million. The decline of $MERL has questioned the money-making effect of the BTC ecosystem, and many BTC ecological projects have since fallen into the embarrassing situation of "postponing the issuance of coins."
The issuance of $MERL can be regarded as the end of Eastern Time. Prior to this, $ORDI hit an ATH of 96U in March, and $SATS fell all the way after it was launched on Binance in December 2023, but it still rebounded to near its historical high in March. Everything returned to calm in April, and the inscriptions thereafter did not stir up any more waves, and the market also walked out of the Eastern Time that lasted less than half a year, and went to the meme narrative on SOL and entered the Western Time.
Looking back at the first rise in the East and the fall in the West, the decline of Inscription was actually foreshadowed.
The narrative of Inscription itself, to a certain extent, has caught up with the narrative express train of "BTC ETF passed" and "ETH lacks innovation". People discovered the fun of BTC when they were bored, and Inscription's "no reservation, no VC, and can be rushed to cast" caters to the market's resistance to VC coins.
In this process, Unisat and OKX's support in infrastructure is indispensable, and users can experience the batch casting of Inscription on the front end and participate in the rush to buy popular NFT projects.
However, the wealth effect of Inscription is based on the scarcity of liquidity. When Inscription was listed on the exchange, it lost the halo of BTC ecological attributes to a certain extent and became a common token in the secondary market. As time went on, the slow update of infrastructure made users realize that the BTC ecosystem was just "new wine in old bottles", and the decline of tokens accelerated the end of the narrative.
04 A conspiracy: Fractal Bitcoin, a public chain operated by UnisatFractal Bitcoin is a Bitcoin expansion solution created by the well-known Bitcoin wallet team - Unisat.
According to official documents, Fractal Bitcoin improves transaction processing capacity and speed by recursively creating an infinite expansion layer on the BTC main chain using BTC core code, while maintaining full compatibility with the existing Bitcoin ecosystem, with the characteristics of fast transaction speed, native compatibility, and dynamic adjustment.
A brand new BTC public chain
In the first Eastern time, the life and death of the inscription was in the hands of a few BTC core developers. Unisat obviously realized that the buildings on such an uncertain event are all bubbles, and chose to build a new BTC public chain, which not only can control its own destiny, but also can reduce the high transaction fees on the BTC main network.
Fractal Bitcoin is developed based on the BTC core code and is fully compatible with existing Bitcoin wallets, tools and mining equipment. At the same time, it has a good performance in network carrying capacity and transaction traceability after going online.
Fractal uses the same PoW mechanism as Bitcoin, allowing BTC miners to seamlessly switch to Fractal mining with existing hardware. Through the Cadence Mining mechanism, combining permissionless mining and joint mining, 2 out of every 3 blocks are generated by permissionless mining and 1 is generated by joint mining. Permissionless mining allows anyone to participate, while joint mining allows BTC miners to mine both types of blocks at the same time without additional computing power.
Currently, Fractal's combined mining power is 352.278 EH/s, while Bitcoin's is about 570.96 EH/s during the same period, accounting for 61.9%. In other words, Fractal maintains the security of the network by giving miners a certain amount of $FB every day.
Support innovative assets and protocols
1.CAT20 protocol
CAT20 is an earlier protocol of the Fractal network. According to the official document of @ProtocolCAT (https://catprotocol.org/), CAT Protocol is a new type of Bitcoin token protocol based on UTXO, and its full name is Covenant Attested Token (CAT). The protocol is verified by miners and uses smart contracts to manage token casting and transfer. It has the following features:
No Indexer Required: The token's rule set is guaranteed by Bitcoin consensus and inherits the security of BTC. Its data and logic reside on the chain and do not rely on any off-chain third party (such as an indexer) to run.
Modularity: CAT tokens can be used in other smart contracts to build more complex decentralized applications (such as AMM, lending, staking, etc.).
Programmable Minting: The token minting rules are executed by smart contracts to avoid over-minting.
Cross-chain interoperability: The CAT protocol allows multi-chain assets, and decentralized applications can run across chains.
SPV compatibility: CAT tokens support simplified payment verification (SPV). Light clients such as mobile phones can independently verify the authenticity of tokens without trusting central servers.
The CAT protocol supports both homogeneous tokens (called the CAT20 standard) and non-homogeneous tokens (called the CAT721 standard). Currently:
During the minting process of the first CAT20 token, the gas soared from 150 sats/vB to 5000 sats/vB, and the gas of a single CAT20 (5 in one) reached a maximum of 10U, and has now fallen back to 3.5U.
The first CAT721 NFT has a total of 10,000, of which 1,500 are provided to OKX wallets for lottery, and 8,500 are provided to users who pledge 100 CAT20 tokens in their wallets.
Unisat has a very high degree of support for CAT20. Not only did it launch a query page during the CAT20 minting period, but it also supports CAT20 assets on the current website and wallet.
2.PizzaSwap
PizzaSwap is the Fractal Swap created by Unisat before, which is a key product in the first Eastern Time Unisat roadmap.
PizzaSwap currently has no tokens. Unisat once airdropped the five-character Brc20 $PIZZA to ecological users in May this year, and always positioned it as a giveaway. But obviously this name has aroused users' speculation that it may be the governance token of PizzaSwap. It rose to 6U when it was about to go online in September, and now it has fallen back to around 2U.
On October 27, Unisat announced on its official Twitter account that PizzaSwap will start LPfest on November 6, and users can get transaction fees and $FB rewards by adding liquidity to PizzaSwap.
As Fractal's gas token, the price of $FB has fallen from a high of 38U to around 5U since its launch, and its current circulating market value is only 25M, which is even less than the market value of most of the short-lived inscriptions last year. There are many reasons behind this, which are generally closely related to the current circulation of $FB.
$FB's airdrop share is not large. The main output method is the joint mining of miners, which is criticized by some users for daily selling pressure; on the other hand, because the circulation ratio of $FB is relatively small, it does not meet the listing requirements of some exchanges to a certain extent, so users have fewer channels to obtain $FB; finally, the low circulation of $FB will be significantly affected by the development of the chain ecology and the wealth effect. When projects appear on the chain, users rush to buy $FB, and Fractal, except for the short-term popularity after the inscription was launched, the later runes were not as expected, and the gas on the chain has fallen back to single digits.
But for a development team like Unisat that has crossed the bull and bear markets of inscriptions, perhaps they have other plans.
05 Conclusion: The sun sets in the west, and it is only a matter of time before it risesIn fact, Eastern and Western time are not contradictory, capital never sleeps, the only difference is making money in different time zones.
When people are tired of talking about MEME on the beach in California, they will also choose to focus on the Brc20 token on the other side of the ocean. In essence, funds still need to be delivered through narratives in the context of tight liquidity.
But after each narrative, developers with real technical strength and a strong sense of responsibility will carefully lay the foundation and patiently wait for the pointer to turn to their own time zone.
On October 30, 2023, UniSat officially announced the 14 assets that BRC20-swap initially supported, including $SATS;
On November 1, 2023, BRC20-swap was officially launched. Among the 118 pools initially established, nearly half designated $SATS as a liquid asset;
In December 2023, UniSat announced that it would open the indexer to run mining in January 2024, and users can get $SATS rewards by running transaction packaging services.
Looking back at the relationship between Unisat and $SATS, $SATS was just a "Satoshi" Meme coin when it was born, but after getting the support of UniSat, $SATS started its own narrative. Now the Fractal network has become the focus of Unisat in the next period. If we try to find a sword at this moment, will we see the outbreak of CAT20 in December?
Let us wait and see, once again, it is time for the Eastern narrative.