Google Finance is now displaying real-time data from US prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket, signalling a notable convergence of traditional finance with decentralized forecasting tools.
Users can now view live probabilities on major events, from elections and inflation reports to crypto regulatory decisions, directly alongside conventional financial instruments.
Kalshi, a US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)-regulated platform, and Polymarket, a decentralized protocol on the Polygon blockchain, have long served niche communities.
Their integration into Google Finance indicates institutional interest in event contracts as indicators of market sentiment rather than mere speculation.
Analysts note that prediction contracts often respond faster than equities or bonds to political and economic developments, offering early insights into shifting market expectations.
According to a crypto trader on X,
“Google's new Polymarket integration isn't just data display, it's fueling AI-driven forecasts in Finance. [...] This could eclipse traditional economists, democratizing foresight while blurring lines between gambling & investing.”
The inclusion allows users to monitor shifts in market sentiment over time, complementing conventional economic indicators like CPI forecasts and Treasury yields.
The rollout, set for the coming weeks, will allow users to type questions directly into Google Search to access current market odds and track forecast changes.
The feature forms part of a broader AI-powered revamp of Google Finance, which also introduces Deep Search driven by Google’s Gemini models and enhanced live earnings tracking.
Source: Google
Kalshi enables trading on a regulated exchange, while Polymarket offers decentralized contracts on a wide range of events, from political outcomes to speculative questions like “Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?” or “Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rent next year?”
The visibility of these markets on Google Finance signals their growing acceptance as reliable tools for forecasting.
Google’s integration follows similar moves across the fintech and crypto sectors.
Robinhood launched a prediction market hub in March through KalshiEX LLC, while MetaMask integrated Polymarket to expand its platform into “democratized finance,” according to global product lead Gal Eldar.
Sam Altman’s World App also incorporated Polymarket for users in permitted regions.
Recent investment rounds underline the growing financial weight of these platforms.
Polymarket raised $2 billion from Intercontinental Exchange, valuing the company at $9 billion, while Kalshi secured $300 million from Sequoia, Andreessen Horowitz, and Coinbase Ventures, reaching a $5 billion valuation.
The National Hockey League became the first professional sports league to partner with Kalshi and Polymarket, signalling mainstream interest in prediction-based event trading.
Despite growing adoption, regulatory scrutiny continues.
Kalshi operates under federal oversight, while Polymarket’s decentralised approach has previously drawn CFTC enforcement attention.
Sports-related event contracts are particularly sensitive, with multiple US states including Maryland, Massachusetts, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, and Ohio contesting whether they constitute illegal sports betting.
Traditional sportsbooks face pressure as these platforms expand into event contracts, creating ongoing legal and regulatory friction.
Coinlive Perspective Prediction markets now occupy a curious position between regulated finance and decentralised speculation.
While platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are gaining institutional interest and integration into tools like Google Finance, their survival depends on regulatory clarity, adoption beyond crypto-native communities, and resilience in event-driven volatility.
Questions remain on whether these platforms can maintain credibility as serious market indicators or if they risk being sidelined amid legal challenges and investor scepticism.
The rise of mainstream attention may be the test that defines their long-term relevance in global finance.
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