Author: 0xWendy, IOSG Ventures Source: X, @0xWendy99
1. Investment imbalance between infrastructure and applications
Whether it is Vitalik’s speech or the on-site communication, most first-tier investors have realized the imbalance between infrastructure and applications, and more interest has begun to shift to consumer applications. Paradigm has also raised new funds for consumer-oriented investment, but the imagination of consumer applications on the scene is still limited, mostly limited to imitations like pump.fun and tgbot products. It is a general trend for on-chain transactions to become smoother and more prosperous. Pump and tgbot are relatively successful initial forms, and other forms of products may appear in the future.
2. Popular narrative: AI is the hottest from top to bottom, and meme is the hottest from bottom to top
Investors from many top VCs are still optimistic about AI. The basic logic is that this wave of LLM innovation has brought huge potential for productivity improvement, and cryptocurrency can provide training incentives and solve the initial revenue dilemma of many AI models. The Open AGI Summit held by Sentient, a top AI agency with a financing of 85 million US dollars, was also very lively. From AI infra to agent application stores, almost all web3 projects are being done, but the general bubble is high, and there are many projects with a valuation of over 100 million in the primary market.
The meme craze and benefit effect caused by Solana have led to more exploration of this direction in the community. Institutions and project parties have gradually become interested, but they are all in a grassroots and early stage. TON and other non-mainstream public chains also have some applications in build, but most of them are of poor quality.
3. High-performance public chains: grand narratives and the replacement of the old with the new
In this round of bull market, several high-funded parallel EVMs or high-performance public chains have naturally become rising stars, such as Monad, Megaeth, Bera, etc. They are all popular projects, and they have attracted a lot of attention even if the main network or even the test network has not been launched. Base does not focus on offline activities, but the on-chain ecology has developed very well, becoming one of the most promising soils. In the previous round, the ecology of several so-called high-performance public chains was quiet, and the special sessions were sparsely populated, and it was difficult to attract the interest of users and developers. This shows the importance of timing and vibe tone in the early stage of the ecology.
4. DeFi and NFT are difficult to attract new interest and financing
I personally feel that there are not many DeFi project parties in the activities, and DeFi themes are rarely seen in the activities. NFT seems to have become a term that is rarely mentioned. Except for a few DEX perps and several mature projects in the new ecosystem led by top VCs, it is difficult for emerging DeFi projects to establish a moat of user trust in a short period of time.
5. The industry is gradually maturing, and the Matthew effect is becoming more and more significant
If described in more straightforward language, some of the new crypto money has become "old money" in the past two or three cycles. From investment institutions to the core circles of project parties, it is becoming more and more obvious that many institutions are no longer casting a wide net, but cultivating heavily, and the key person at the top has mastered the ability to make the market believe in their narratives. For institutions, they can only choose to participate in the core circle or have the ability to create their own narratives; for project parties, more glamorous endorsements and powerful resources can get financing, or another way is to find a PMF that can generate profits in the market, such as Pump's exchange-like model.
Summary
Overall, encryption is still one of the best industries. Exploration of the application layer, improvement of infrastructure performance, more compliance and widespread acceptance, and unparalleled circulation advantages under the trend of reverse globalization. There is no need to doubt whether it is a bull market, all it takes is a little time and confidence.