Thoughts after experiencing the two black swan events of April 12 and June 18

Author: Brother Xiangfangdong

Most people have experienced this roller coaster ride from profit to recovery and then to loss. I also bought coins that increased 10 times in this round of market, but did not make any money in the end. I remembered that many fans often asked me why I said this was the last bull market. What I said was that with more market makers entering the market through ETFs this time, it will not be as easy to make money as in the bull markets of 2017 and 2021. It has gone from the novice village to the hell level. The previous pullbacks were all around 50%, which was a lot. This time, 90% of the coins have pulled back by 70%. It is not yet confirmed that the pullback is complete. All the chips are bloody, and the bulls are still being exploded.

 After this experience, Brother Xia learned a lesson. In the future market, he must make profits and exit the capital in time, and set stop losses when losing money. After experiencing this big drop, he is still optimistic about the future, and the coins that he had previously decided would not rise by 10 times now have a chance, but he must be strict with his own operations and never go all in.

Today, Brother Xia has observed a lot of coins again. He sorted out the coins on coinbase and upbit and bn, and then sorted out many coins in the last bull market. Brother Xia’s first point of view is that a bull market without copycats is not a bull market. He often takes house speculation as an example. After the house prices in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen are copied, they will definitely go to Hangzhou, Suzhou, Chongqing and Chengdu until every place that can make money will not be let go. Capital will not let go of any corner.

 Xia Ge has observed a lot of coins recently, this wave is very similar to that in 2021, and many copycat coins are basically the same. Xia Ge's second point of view is that many coins that did not rise much in the first round will rise a lot in the second round, and the multiples of most coins are the same, just like the house in Shenzhen was hyped up from 10,000 to 100,000, and the house in Hangzhou was hyped up from 3,000 to 30,000, the total price did not change but the multiples were basically similar. Although a lot of coins have been added now, many coins did not rise much in this round and even fell to a historical low, but as long as the dealer has chips in his hands, the project will definitely be pulled up. Wouldn't it be more uncomfortable for the dog dealer to hold hundreds of millions of virtual currencies and not find a way to cash them out?

A cycle is 4 years. In the bull market, the project party will sell the chips from 80% to about 20% in one year, and then absorb chips in three years to buy back the previously sold coins at a price of 10%. This cycle is the market cycle. After this round of pepe pull-up and shipment, the dealer’s first coin holding wallet only has 22% left.

At the beginning of each bull market, there will be an outbreak point to drive it. In 2021, it was defi and this year it was ordi. However, in each round, there will be 10,000-fold coins to attract more fans outside the circle. The last bull market was shib fireworks, etc. There will definitely be similar 100-fold projects in this bull market. Brother Xia will continue to invest in and research some new projects. Some people say it is a smart contract protocol similar to the btc ecosystem, and some people say it is a fairer meme project. Brother Xia has previously invested in and researched the pepe floki token with the lowest WLD of 1U and the earliest 100-fold KAS. Later, he will also focus on investing in and researching the next round of skyrocketing coins, and cash out together after making money.

The money earned in the bull market is definitely not from the people in the cryptocurrency circle.

The first step of the bull market: insiders buy in

The second step of the bull market: insiders all in

The third step of the bull market: insiders all in plus leverage, outsiders enter

The fourth step of the bull market: insiders all in plus leverage, outsiders buy in, all in

The fifth step of the bull market: insiders all in plus leverage, outsiders buy in, all in, borrow and leverage, physical companies and some listed companies also began to buy in large quantities, such as Meitu in the last bull market

left;">The sixth step of the bull market: Many physical companies and more listed companies also began to buy in large quantities. You go to the gym, go to a drinking party, and you can see digital currencies everywhere. So far, the bull market is about to end. What stage do you think it is now?