Interest Rate Decisions and Geopolitical Tensions Shape Market Outlook

According to Odaily, Greeks.live macro researcher Adam highlighted on the X platform that the key focus this week is the series of interest rate decisions on March 20. Although the expectations from various central banks are largely aligned, minimizing potential market volatility, the attitudes displayed by these banks could significantly impact future developments. Amid rising geopolitical tensions and increasing regulatory demands, Europe's influence is gradually strengthening. The cryptocurrency market has been relatively stable recently, with Bitcoin continuing to adjust within its range above $80,000. Meanwhile, the U.S. stock market is undergoing significant adjustments, and ETF funds have not seen sustained inflows, keeping market sentiment pessimistic. In the options market, the weakening trend has led to a decline in implied volatility (IV) across all maturities. The at-the-money IV for the current month has fallen below 55%, with short-term IV dropping more noticeably to 60%. This week, several macroeconomic events introduce some uncertainty, likely maintaining the current high levels of IV.