According to BlockBeats, the probability of Christopher Walsh becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair has surpassed that of Kevin Hassett, as predicted by market trends. This shift comes as U.S. President Donald Trump's allies advocate for Walsh's appointment. A recent report by Deutsche Bank's Matthew Luzzetti team suggests that if Walsh is appointed, he may support interest rate cuts while also advancing balance sheet reduction (QT). However, the feasibility of these actions depends on regulatory reforms that could reduce the banking system's reliance on reserves, a prospect that remains uncertain in the short term.
Walsh, a prominent candidate to succeed Jerome Powell, has previously argued that inflation is a choice, attributing it not to supply chain or geopolitical factors but to the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. He has called for the Fed and the Treasury to focus on their respective roles in managing interest rates and fiscal accounts, emphasizing the need for the Fed to reform and return to its core mission of maintaining price stability. Despite his policy criticisms, Walsh is optimistic about the U.S. economic outlook, believing that AI and deregulation could lead to a productivity boom similar to that of the 1980s.
Walsh, a lawyer by training, served as a Federal Reserve governor from 2006 to 2011, playing a crucial communication role during the global financial crisis. He has been a long-time critic of the Fed's aggressive balance sheet expansion over the past 15 years, arguing that quantitative easing deviates from the central bank's core functions. Currently, Walsh is a partner at the Duquesne Family Office and serves as a distinguished visiting fellow at the Hoover Institution and a lecturer at Stanford Business School. His extensive background across academia, regulation, and investment gives him significant influence in monetary policy and financial markets.
Anais