A high-performing account on Polymarket, identified as Car, currently holds a 'No' position worth approximately $34,000 in the prediction event 'Will the U.S. invade Iran by 2027?' According to Odaily, the account has achieved profits exceeding $1.25 million. The average opening price for this position is 66.8¢.
The market rules define 'invasion' as a military offensive initiated by the U.S. aimed at establishing control over any Iranian territory by December 31, 2026, at 23:59 (ET). If such military action does not occur, the market will settle as 'No.' The rules specify that the territorial scope is based on the actual control situation as of November 4, 2025.