According to Odaily, Wall Street Journal reporter Nick Timiraos, known as the 'Fed's Mouthpiece,' highlights that not all monthly CPI inflation reports carry the same weight. In an economy facing price pressures, the January CPI data is particularly impactful. In recent years, January has seen unusually strong price increases in the U.S., reflecting significant price adjustments at the start of the year. Timiraos notes that the upcoming inflation report, set to be released this week, could reveal whether the Federal Reserve's efforts to curb inflation have overcome a critical hurdle. He emphasizes that this data is of great importance to the Federal Reserve.
Alan Detmeister, who previously led the Federal Reserve's price and wage forecasting department, suggests that even if first-quarter inflation data does not deliver another shock to the Federal Reserve, rising tariffs might provide Fed officials with a reason to slow down the pace of interest rate cuts. 'This could make them more cautious in reducing rates,' Detmeister stated.