Ethereum surged 50% in two weeks, sparking talk of a $9,000 price target. With tight supply, strong ETF inflows, and bullish technical patterns, could ETH break its all‑time high by early 2026?Key TakeawaysEthereum (ETH) is up 50% in the past two weeks, regaining market momentum.Onchain data shows 28% of ETH is staked, exchange balances are at 2016 lows, and first-time buyers are surging.Analysts point to Elliott Wave models projecting $9,000 by early 2026, if macro conditions hold.ETF inflows and network usage data support a structural bull case for Ethereum.Ethereum’s Rally: Why $9,000 Is Back on the TableEthereum (ETH) has surged more than 50% in just two weeks, trading near $3,770 as investors speculate whether the second-largest cryptocurrency can double from current levels.Despite the sharp gains, ETH still trades 23% below its November 2021 all-time high, suggesting more upside could be ahead if the market rotation from Bitcoin to altcoins continues.Elliott Wave Model Points to $9,000 PeakAccording to XForceGlobal, Ethereum appears to be in the third impulsive wave of an Elliott Wave pattern — historically the most powerful stage of a bull run.Price projection: $9,000 by early 2026Breakout levels to watch: $4,000 remains the first major resistanceIf ETH clears this barrier, analysts expect momentum to accelerate, driven by ETF inflows and tightening supply.Onchain Data Shows Tight Supply, Strong DemandEthereum’s fundamentals are reinforcing the bullish case.28% of ETH is staked (34M ETH locked) – removing it from circulation.Exchange balances dropped to 16.2M ETH – the lowest since 2016.New buyers are flooding in: First-time holder supply is up 16% since early July.Glassnode data also shows that 94.4% of ETH’s supply is in profit, but investor sentiment remains muted. The NUPL score (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) sits at 0.47, a zone of “optimism,” but far from the euphoric levels seen at market tops.ETF Inflows and Corporate Adoption Fuel the Bull CaseSpot Ethereum ETFs have attracted $4B+ in inflows in just two weeks, while companies like BitMine Immersion Technologies and SharpLink Gaming are building ETH treasury positions.This trend mirrors Bitcoin’s institutional wave in 2021 — but for Ethereum. Analysts say this “Michael Saylor for ETH” narrative could create a supply shock as institutional demand outpaces new ETH issuance nearly 7-to-1.Ethereum Network: Capacity Expands, Demand Stays HighEthereum’s usage remains at near-full capacity.Gas limits were raised in July 2025, but blocks filled instantly — showing demand was already waiting.NFTs no longer dominate block space — instead, stablecoin transactions, modular apps, and rollup proof publishing are taking over.This indicates Ethereum isn’t just a speculative asset — its network remains critical infrastructure for DeFi, tokenization, and the next wave of Web3.Is $9K ETH Realistic?Bull case: Elliott Wave patterns, ETF inflows, and onchain metrics all support a run to $9K by early 2026.Bear case: ETH must break $4K decisively first, or risk stagnating below its 2021 ATH.If ETH breaks $4,000, analysts expect parabolic momentum to follow — potentially leading to $9,000 sooner than expected.