Key Takeaways:Solana price falls 3%, underperforming the broader crypto marketBitcoin dominance at 59.% drives capital rotation away from altcoinsTechnical breakdown below key averages weakens near-term confidence Immediate Price Move And Technical RejectionSOL declined 3% in the past 24 hours, falling more than the broader market’s negative 2.45% move. The drop followed a rejection near the 30-day simple moving average at 132.66, reinforcing near-term selling pressure.According to technical data, SOL price now trades below all major moving averages. Short-term references like the 10-day EMA at 126.32 and 20-day EMA at 129.52 highlight fading bullish momentum after the recent rebound attempt.Source: TradingView Bitcoin Dominance And Altcoin WeaknessThe broader environment remains challenging for altcoins. Bitcoin dominance rose to 59%, a 30-day high, signaling capital rotation toward BTC. The Altcoin Season Index at 16 reflects one of the weakest readings since April 2025.Market sentiment remains cautious, with the Fear & Greed Index at 29. Rising derivatives exposure, with $798.9 billion in open interest, has increased volatility across digital assets, especially in high-beta tokens like Solana. Whale Activity And Derivatives PressureOn-chain data shows a coordinated derivatives move by a large trader, opening $18.79 million in SOL short positions alongside larger BTC and ETH positions. This activity coincided with a 45% surge in Solana derivatives volume to $3.43 billion.Negative funding rates near -0.00326% discouraged leveraged long exposure. With low liquidity and a turnover ratio near 4.69%, the market absorbed the pressure poorly, amplifying the downside move. Strong Inflows Show Room for OptimismHowever, SOL's inflows paint a more optimistic picture. Last week, amid a nearly $1B cumulative outflow in crypto ETPs led by Ethereum, SOL and XRP bucked the bearish trend and instead registered inflows of $48.5M and $62.9M respectively. Data on daily SOL ETF inflows also presents a strong case for confidence in SOL to regain lost ground, with ETFs from Vaneck and Fidelity posting positive inflows.Source: SoSoValue Key Levels And Near-Term OutlookFrom a technical perspective, Solana price broke below the 38.2% Fibonacci level at 135.49 and failed to reclaim short-term averages. The daily RSI near 41 suggests room for further downside before exhaustion signals appear.On the upside, resistance levels present themselves at $126.8 and $128.5, where short-term moving averages and Fibonacci resistance meet. A confirmed breakout above this zone could lead to $132.Now, traders are monitoring the $117.32 area, the 2025 swing low, as a critical reference. Any stabilization may depend on Bitcoin holding key levels and whether renewed institutional interest, including rising BTC ETF inflows, improves broader market confidence.
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