全球投资者关注将于今天晚些时候公布的联邦公开市场委员会会议结果。以防万一您不知道，联邦公开市场委员会 (FOMC) 是美国中央银行 (Fed) 的货币政策制定机构。委员会每年总共召开 8 次会议，讨论货币政策变化、审查经济和金融状况、评估物价稳定性和就业产出。 FOMC 会议安排在每六周的周二和周三举行（有时可能会延迟一到两周左右）。周三下午（UTC+8 时区周四凌晨 2 点）等待 FOMC 会议声明已成为全球投资者的传统。您可以加入帮派并在此处向 F5 刷新按钮发送垃圾邮件：https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
一旦 FOMC 声明发布，您将看到金融市场的价格大幅波动，无论是股票、加密货币还是大宗商品。届时，市场将决定其方向是看涨还是看跌。
在 2022 年的第一次 FOMC 会议上，比特币在每个小时区间都失败了，在交易的前 4 个小时内下跌了 4.56%。 6 月的 FOMC 会议记录了最牛市的交易部分，在短短 4 小时内交易了超过十万个比特币，这几乎是单日交易量的总和。然而，这是有背景的，比特币在 6 月 FOMC 会议后上涨 5.11% 的原因是投资者预期加息 100 个基点而不是 75 个基点。而且，比特币几天就从 30,000 美元暴跌至 20,000 美元会议前。 FOMC 会议后接下来几天的比特币表现如何？
还记得第一次 FOMC 会议后比特币跌幅最大吗？好吧，它在两周后转为看涨，恐慌的卖家完全错过了这次牛市。 3 月，美联储批准自 2018 年 12 月以来首次加息 25 个基点。市场欢呼雀跃，比特币反弹至 1 月份的水平，47,000 美元。这标志着2022年的峰值。从图表中我们可以清楚地看到，比特币的价格在最近的两次会议中暴跌。根据统计，FOMC 会议后比特币上涨或下跌的机会为 50/50。对我来说，最好的情况不是两者都不是，而是横向移动。横盘是指当供求力量几乎相等时发生的水平价格运动。引用来自 Valkyrie Investments 的 Josh Olszewicz 的话，“从历史上看，比特币的价格触底是在长时间的低波动和平淡的价格走势之后出现的”。相信这次FOMC会议之后，市场会给我们一个答案。
标准普尔 500 指数和比特币折线图以及 FOMC 声明发布时间表
作者：[Coinlive] 内尔
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