链上数据显示，1 周到 1 个月之间的比特币供应量百分比现已降至历史底部区域。
正如一位分析师在 CryptoQuant 中指出的那样邮政 ，最近BTC市场的短期买盘似乎一直在下降。
计算比特币市值的一种方法是“实现上限 ”，其中每枚代币乘以上次移动的价格，然后对整个供应量求和。
这与正常情况不同市值 ，其中总和是在所有代币简单地根据 BTC 的当前值加权后得出的。
这里的相关指标是“已实现上限 UTXO 年龄段”，它告诉我们市场上不同币龄组对已实现上限的个人百分比贡献。
在这种情况下，具体来说，考虑了“1 周至 1 个月大”供应的百分比。下图显示了该组的贡献趋势：
最近几周该指标的价值似乎有所下降 |来源：加密量化
正如您在上图中所见，历史上比特币价格的底部发生在 1 周至 1 个月的供应百分比跌破 4% 大关时。
最近，该指标的值出现下降，目前处于 3.8% 左右，低于历史阈值。
宽客在帖子中解释说，当熊市刚刚开始时，投资者会在没有意识到熊市正在进行的情况下继续购买。但是，当熊市持续时间较长时，这些持有者中的大多数人会停止购买更多。
1 周至 1 个月的供应量表明市场上出现了短期买盘。它跌至这些低点表明熊市现在处于大多数投资者停止增持的阶段。
如果过去的趋势这次也成立，那么这种供应下降到底部区域的百分比可能意味着比特币可能处于或接近周期的熊底。
在撰写本文时，比特币的价格 浮动在 2.18 万美元左右，上周上涨 1%。在过去的一个月里，加密货币的价值上涨了 2%。
下图显示了过去五天代币价格的趋势。
看起来 BTC 在过去几天继续区间震荡 |来源：TradingView 上的 BTCUSD
特色图片来自 Unsplash.com 上的 Kanchanara，图表来自 TradingView.com、CryptoQuant.com
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