链上数据显示，损失的比特币供应量仍在 48% 左右，低于过去熊市底部时观察到的值。
正如一位分析师在 CryptoQuant 中指出的那样邮政 ，BTC 可能会在触底之前进一步下跌，因为超过 50% 的供应仍在获利中。
这 ”利润供应 ” 是衡量当前比特币总供应量中有多少部分获利的指标。
该指标通过查看链上每个硬币的转移历史来计算该值，以了解它最后一次移动的价格。
如果任何硬币的先前交易价格低于当前 BTC 价格，则该特定硬币被称为获利并按指标计算。
反向指标是“供应亏损 ”，它告诉我们有关水下供应的信息，只需从 100 中减去利润中的供应百分比即可计算得出。
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现在，这是一张图表，显示了过去几年比特币供应的利润趋势：
最近几个月该指标的价值似乎一直在下降 |来源：加密量化
正如您在上图中看到的那样，宽客已经标记了与底部相关的比特币利润供应的相关趋势区域。
看起来只要该指标的值接近 40% 或更低，之前的熊市就已经形成底部。
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该指标的当前值为 52%，仍高于达到该历史底部区域所需的值。
这意味着在底部形成之前仍然需要更多的供应量损失，这只有在 BTC 仍面临进一步下行的情况下才会发生。
上个月，当比特币跌至 1.76 万美元的低点时，供应损失达到 50% 以上，但仍低于要求的 60% 门槛。
在撰写本文时，比特币的价格 浮动在 1.97 万美元左右，在过去 7 天里上涨了 2%。在过去的一个月里，加密货币已经分道扬镳，价值下降了 30%。
下图显示了过去五天代币价格的趋势。
看起来加密货币的价值在过去几天一直呈下降趋势 |来源：TradingView 上的 BTCUSD
过去一周，比特币似乎轻松地位于 2 万美元以上，但在最后一天，该代币再次跌破该水平。
特色图片来自 Unsplash.com 上的 Marc-Olivier Jodoin，图表来自 TradingView.com、CryptoQuant.com
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