PredictIt, a crypto and fiat currency gambling platform that enables Americans to wager on who will be elected to Congress or the next president, has been stripped of its legal power to do business in the United States.
商品期货交易委员会（CFTC）已下令加密货币和政治博彩平台暂停运营，以违反其协议条件。
CFTC 撤销了一封允许 PredictIt 运营其非营利性在线交易所的许可证，用户可以在其中使用法定现金或加密货币推测选举和金融事件的可能结果。
该平台的运作方式是允许投注者/交易者购买预期预期结果的股票；如果他们的预测是准确的，他们将获得每股 1 美元。该网站将赌注限制为 850 美元，或等值的加密货币赌注。
由于该网站由总部位于新西兰的惠灵顿维多利亚大学管理，该大学向学术研究人员提供赌博赔率和统计数据，因此 CTFC 在 2014 年向其发出了一封不采取行动的救济函。
CTFC 上周撤销了之前颁发的许可，称该交易所不再是“美国用于教育目的的小型非营利性活动合同在线市场”。 Predict It 与这一说法相矛盾。
图片：华盛顿月刊
该网站的免责声明称，“Predictit.org 是一项实验性举措，出于学术原因在 CFTC 授权下进行管理。”
CFTC 决定删除该平台所依赖的监管信函，这震惊了政治博彩业。
CFTC 表示，根据 2014 年法律解释列出的 PredictIt 合约交易必须在 2023 年 2 月 15 日之前停止。监管机构的决定不需要强制执行。
这意味着公民仍然可以在前总统唐纳德特朗普和佛罗里达州州长罗恩德桑蒂斯之间的 2024 年总统大选等市场上下注。
Aristotle Inc. 运营着 PredictIt，它吸引了一群职业赌徒。据亚里士多德称，亚里士多德为政治竞选活动提供技术、数据和其他服务，选民、媒体成员、政治家和研究人员都依赖 PredictIt 的关键指标。
政治分析家和主流媒体一直依赖 PredictIt 等预测市场，尽管许多人对该行业持怀疑态度。
除了宣布大众汽车没有按照 2014 年决议的规定管理其市场外，CFTC 没有透露撤销信函的具体原因。
在线博彩中广泛采用加密货币提供了几个优势。在我们的社会中，第一款网络游戏是在 25 多年前推出的。从那时起，在线赌博迅速发展。
基于加密货币的在线赌博平台正在兴起，尽管实施了严格的规则，但运营和推广相对不受惩罚。
许多在美国境外运营的网站现在提供了一种无需进行大量背景调查即可开始赌博的简单方法。
日线图上的加密货币总市值为 1.11 万亿美元 |来源：TradingView.com 来自 The Clever PM 的特色图片，图表来自TradingView.com
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