来自 Glassnode 的数据显示，比特币的长期持有者成本基础目前高于加密货币的实际价格。
根据分析公司的最新每周报告玻璃节点 ，在之前的熊市中，LTH 成本基础在 248 至 575 天的时间内一直低于实现价格。
比特币“长期持有人 ”（或简称为 LTH）包括持有其代币至少 155 天且未移动或出售的所有投资者。
这实现上限 市场的计算方法是将流通中的每个硬币乘以它最后移动/出售的价格，然后求和。
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从这个资本化中，可以通过简单地将这个指标除以流通中的代币总数来得出“已实现价格”。
实现的价格可以被认为是比特币市场中平均持有者的成本基础。下图显示了 LTH 的成本基础与加密历史上整个市场的成本基础相比如何。
看起来 LTH 成本基础最近超过了实际价格 |来源：Glassnode 的链上周 - 2022 年第 30 周
正如您在上图中看到的那样，突出显示了之前的比特币熊市以及期间两个已实现价格的趋势。
随着加密货币接近熊市低点，LTH 成本基础似乎总是超过整个市场的实际价格。
相关阅读 | 将实现广泛整合的加密货币：Mehracki (MKI)、比特币 (BTC)、Near Protocol (NEAR)
发生这种情况是因为 LTH 是最不可能在任何时候卖出的群体，而市场恐慌中的其他人在下跌趋势中更容易卖出。 LTH 即使在水下之后也试图渡过难关，但其他持有者抛售，从而降低了平均实现价格。
从图表中可以明显看出，在上一次熊市期间，LTH 价格基础至少有 248 天和最多 575 天保持在实际价格之上。
最近，LTH 价格基础穿越其他指标的格局再次形成。但到目前为止，指标只观察到这种趋势 17 天，远少于历史周期。
在撰写本文时，比特币的价格 浮动在 2.07 万美元左右，在过去一周下跌了 9%。上个月，加密货币价值下跌了 3%。
下图显示了过去五天代币价格的趋势。
加密货币的价值在过去几天似乎有所下滑 |来源：TradingView 上的 BTCUSD
特色图片来自 Unsplash.com 上的 Hans-Jurgen Mager，图表来自 TradingView.com、Glassnode.com
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