比特币（比特币 ) 正在享受一些人所说的“熊市反弹”，并在 7 月份上涨了 20%，但价格走势仍令分析师感到困惑。
随着 7 月月度收盘的临近，多个女孩 已经离开底部区域，导致人们希望最严重的损失可能已经过去。
Puell Multiple 是最著名的链上比特币指标之一。它衡量的是与过去 365 天开采的比特币价值相比，某一天开采的比特币价值。
由此产生的倍数用于确定一天开采的硬币相对于一年的平均值是特别高还是特别低。由此，可以推断出矿工的盈利能力，以及关于市场超买或超卖程度的更一般性结论。
在触及传统上伴随宏观价格触底的水平后，Puell Multiple 现在目标更高——传统上在宏观价格上升趋势开始时看到的东西。
“根据历史数据，该区域的突破伴随着价格图表中的看涨势头，”链上分析平台 CryptoQuant 的贡献者 Grizzly，写了 在该公司 7 月 25 日的“Quicktake”市场更新之一中。
Multiple 并不是当前条件下唯一闪烁绿色的信号。作为 Cointelegraph报告 ，持有者的增持趋势也表明宏观底部已经到来。
在本月下半月意外反弹后，比特币现在接近其六周以来最高水平 远非新的宏观低点。
相关： 尽管 GBTC 溢价为 -31%，但比特币期货数据显示“情绪正在改善”
随着市场情绪走出“恐惧”区域，市场观察人士指出一些独特现象继续使 2022 年熊市极难准确预测。
在其他 CryptoQuant 在最近的“Quicktake”研究报告中指出，这次即使是价格趋势线也不正常。
特别是，BTC/USD 已经交叉实现价格 最近几周多次达到这个水平，这在之前的熊市中是没有发生过的。
已实现价格是 BTC 供应最后移动的平均价格，目前略低于 22,000 美元。
CryptoQuant 解释说：“已实现价格在之前的周期中预示着市场触底。”
“更重要的是，比特币价格在过去两个时期（2018 年 134 天和 2020 年 7 天）都没有超过实际价格门槛。然而，自 6 月 13 日以来，它在这个水平上来回三次，这表明由于前所未有的宏观经济条件，这个周期的独特性。”
正如 Cointelegraph 报道的那样，这些情况表现为美国通货膨胀率达到四十年来的最高水平，美联储大幅加息以及最近的信号表明美国经济已经进入衰退 .
与此同时，除了实际价格外，比特币还与其 200 周移动平均线 (MA) 在熊市中形成了不同寻常的关系。
BTC/USD 通常将其作为支撑并短暂跌破，但在 2022 年首次将 200 周均线转为阻力位。目前位于 22,800 美元左右，数据来自Cointelegraph 市场专业版 和交易视图 显示。
此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者个人观点，并不一定反映 Cointelegraph.com 的观点。每一项投资和交易都涉及风险，您在做出决定时应该进行自己的研究。
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