熊市通常以投降事件为标志，灰心丧气的投资者最终放弃他们的头寸，资产价格随着流入该行业的资金逐渐减少或触底过程开始而巩固。
根据 Glassnode 最近的一份报告，比特币持有者现在是“唯一剩下的人”，而且他们似乎“随着价格修正到 3 万美元以下而加倍下注”。
查看新买家的数量可以找到缺乏新买家的证据余额非零的钱包 ，在过去一个月内趋于稳定，这一过程在 2021 年 5 月加密货币市场抛售之后出现。
与 2020 年 3 月和 2018 年 11 月发生的抛售不同，随后链上活动的上升“引发了随后的牛市”，最近的抛售尚未“激发新用户的涌入”进入空间。” Glassnode 分析师表示，这表明当前的活动主要是由 hodlers 推动的。
尽管许多投资者对 BTC 的横盘价格走势不感兴趣，但逆向投资者将其视为增持的机会，比特币增持趋势得分证明了这一点，该得分在过去两周“接近完美得分超过 0.9”。
根据 Glassnode 的说法，在看跌趋势期间，该指标的高分“通常在价格出现非常显着的调整后触发，因为投资者心理从不确定性转向价值积累。”
CryptoQuant 首席执行官 Ki Young Ju 也指出了比特币目前处于增持阶段的想法，他发布了以下推文，询问他的推特粉丝“为什么不买？”
仔细查看数据可以看出，近期的增持主要是由拥有少于 100 个 BTC 的实体和拥有超过 10,000 个 BTC 的实体推动的。
在最近的波动中，持有少于 100 BTC 的实体的总余额增加了 80,724 BTC，Glassnode 指出这“与 LUNA Foundation Guard 清算的净 80,081 BTC 非常相似”。
持有超过 10,000 BTC 的实体在同一时期的余额中增加了 46,269 比特币，而持有 100 BTC 至 10,000 BTC 的实体“维持在 0.5 左右的更中性评级，表明其持有量的净变化相对较小。”
长期比特币持有者似乎是当前价格走势背后的主要推动力，一些人积极增持，另一些人平均损失 -27%。
尽管长期持有者群体中的一些人目睹了抛售，但这些钱包持有的总供应量最近回到了 1304.8 万比特币的历史新高。
Glassnode 说，
“除非发生重大的代币重新分配，否则我们因此可以预计这一供应指标将在未来 3-4 个月内开始攀升，这表明 HODLers 将继续逐渐吸收并保持供应。”
最近的波动可能已经将一些最忠实的比特币持有者赶出局，但数据显示，大多数认真的持有者都不愿意花掉他们的供应，“即使现在处于亏损状态。”
此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者个人观点，并不一定反映 Cointelegraph.com 的观点。每一项投资和交易都涉及风险，您在做出决定时应该进行自己的研究。
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