交易周开始时，比特币再次飙升并触及 32,000 美元的高位，尽管只是短暂的。鉴于指标指向更悲观的趋势，这种复苏令市场感到意外。然而，复苏是一个受欢迎的景象，因为它使比特币走上了结束其红色连胜的轨道。然而，这次反弹背后的原因仍然笼罩在神秘之中，但未平仓合约可能会提供答案。
全球未平仓合约在上周末出现激增，这在比特币未平仓合约中更为突出。在数字资产的价格出现令人难以置信的复苏之前，飙升使其达到 307,189 BTC 的历史新高。然而，这只会持续很长时间，因为以 BTC 计价的未平仓合约将在接下来的两个小时内暴跌 18,000 BTC，但影响已经被记录下来。
相关阅读 | 比特币盈利能力在市场挣扎后触及两年低点
在持仓量创下历史新高后，比特币价格攀升至 31,000 美元以上，表明这是一次轧空。小时后，以 BTC 计价的未平仓合约为 288,875 BTC，而 BTC 继续呈上升趋势。未平仓量急剧下降的两个小时时段在 ByBit 交易所尤为明显，该时段下降了 12%。
BTC 未平仓合约在价格突破 31,000 美元之前激增 |来源：奥术研究
在此之后，杠杆率仍然非常高，未平仓合约已经从下降中恢复过来。它的复苏不足以将其推回历史新高，但它已经跌至更高的低点，高于两周前创下的历史高点 289,780 BTC。
随着加密货币市场的崩溃，出现了一些特别有趣的影响。其中之一是比特币多头/空头比率下降，现在已回到 2022 年前几个月记录的水平。
BTC 努力守住 30,000 美元 |来源：TradingView.com 上的 BTCUSD
多空比率基本上是合约中的净多空账户与未平仓账户总数的比率。这一比率的下降在加密货币市场上使用最广泛的衍生工具之一中最为突出，即稳定币计价的 BTC 永久。
相关阅读 | 熊市展望：公共比特币矿业公司及其盈利能力
这个多头/空头比率的下降描绘了一幅非常悲观的画面，因为它现在略高于 1。从历史比例来看，这是相当低的，并且鉴于众所周知，低多头/空头比率先于大市场崩溃，市场可能会有更多的下行空间。一个例子是比特币从 3 月下旬的历史高点回落，当时多头/空头比率在市场见顶之前达到历史最低点。
来自 NewsBTC 的特色图片，来自 Arcane Research 和 TradingView.com 的图表
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