U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Meeting Probabilities Rise

The likelihood of a diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran before April 18 has increased to 54%, marking a 27% rise in the past 24 hours. According to Odaily, the probability of such a meeting occurring before April 30 has also surged to 94%, with a 22% increase over the same period. The contract rules for this event define a diplomatic meeting as an official gathering where representatives from the U.S. and Iran, authorized by their respective governments, engage in negotiations or diplomatic activities concerning U.S.-Iran relations. Meetings conducted indirectly, such as through designated mediators or coordinators with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, also fall under the category of diplomatic meetings. The Pakistani Foreign Ministry has extended an invitation to the U.S. and Iran to hold a second round of talks in Islamabad. However, the date and time for these negotiations have not yet been confirmed. Additionally, on the 13th, Iran's Deputy Interior Minister Ali Zainivand commented on U.S. President Donald Trump's remarks about 'destroying' Iranian civilization, dismissing them as a 'joke' and stating that those unfamiliar with Iranian civilization cannot appreciate its strength.