Garrett Jin, an agent for 'BTC OG Insider Whale,' has released an analysis titled 'Decorated Truce,' cautioning crypto traders not to be deceived by the apparent market calm. According to Odaily, Jin highlights that while the market seems stable, underlying risks are accumulating. He notes that following U.S. President Donald Trump's visit to China, the window for U.S.-Iran military conflict could reopen at any time, suggesting the current truce merely delays conflict rather than signaling a positive beginning.
Currently, market optimism is high, with Saudi Arabia and Iran signing a memorandum of cooperation, strong earnings reports from tech companies, and rising South Korean stocks. Bitcoin is nearing the $82,000 to $83,000 range. However, macroeconomic risks are becoming apparent, including depleted liquidity in large corporate transactions, airline bankruptcies, banks provisioning for war-related bad debts, and Berkshire Hathaway's cash reserves reaching a new high.
Garrett Jin predicts that the end of May could be a critical turning point. If tech giants continue to exceed performance expectations, the risk window might extend to the July earnings season.