Polymarket: The market is betting that the US government shutdown will last beyond the end of November, with a probability of 75%.

The latest data from Polymarket shows that among contracts predicting the end of the US government shutdown, the probability of ending on November 30th or earlier is 75%, while the probability of ending before November 15th is 59%. In the short term, the probability of ending before October 24th is only 6%, indicating that the market generally believes that it will be difficult for the government to resume operations in the short term.