On February 21, cryptocurrency analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlighted significant realized losses in Bitcoin's recent downturn. According to BlockBeats, this event marks one of the largest realized loss occurrences in Bitcoin's history, comparable to the 2018 bear market crash, the March 2020 COVID-19 plunge, and the 2022 Luna/FTX collapse.
Many holders are engaging in capitulation selling, either liquidating at a loss or transferring their BTC while in a loss position. Such extreme loss realization typically signals market panic selling and forced liquidations. Historically, similar spikes in realized losses often occur near or at market bottoms, indicating the clearing out of 'weak hands' and high-leverage positions.
Notably, the Sharpe Ratio has dropped to its lowest level since the last market bottom, indicating a massive capitulation event with high realized losses and market sentiment nearing freezing point. The key difference in this cycle is that Bitcoin has only fallen about 50% from its historical peak, rather than the typical 80%, suggesting the bottom may be near.