Fed Rate Cut Expectations Rise Amid Stable Market Conditions

According to Odaily, Greeks.live researcher Adam posted on the X platform that as the week draws to a close, the U.S. presidential debate and various macroeconomic data have not caused significant market fluctuations. The expectation for a Federal Reserve rate cut next week is becoming more consistent. Current data from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) indicates an 87% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next week, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut stands at only 13%. Meanwhile, options data shows a noticeable decline in implied volatility (IV) across major maturities, suggesting that market volatility expectations have not materialized. The theme for the market in September remains one of oscillation.