According to CoinDesk, the election of Donald Trump has ushered in a new era for digital assets, marked by increased regulatory clarity and heightened market activity. This development raises questions about the sustainability of this shift, whether it is a lasting change or merely a temporary reaction to the current political climate.
CCData's latest Exchange Review report reveals that aggregated spot and derivatives volumes have reached a new yearly high in 2024, surpassing the previous record set in 2021. The volumes soared to $75 trillion compared to $64 trillion in 2021. The election has fueled market activity and speculation, leading to record-breaking volumes in November and December, with $10.51 trillion and $11.31 trillion, respectively. The average volume for 2024, the largest year on record, was approximately $6.4 trillion.
Stablecoins have also seen significant growth, reaching a total market cap of $210.1 billion on inauguration day, as reported by DeFiLlama. This represents a year-to-date increase of 3.3%, driven by improved liquidity conditions across both centralized and decentralized exchanges. This influx of fresh volumes has been supported by these improved conditions over the past few months.
US-based assets have particularly thrived since the election, benefiting from a permissive regulatory environment and the promise of more favorable conditions. Coins such as XRP, SOL, XLM, and ALGO, which have strong U.S. affiliations, have experienced substantial returns. According to CCData, the basket associated with these coins has surged over 360%, significantly outpacing the broader market. This marks a reversal from the previous administration's regulatory stance, which subjected these assets to scrutiny as they were deemed securities by the SEC.
The continuation of this unprecedented growth will largely depend on the Trump administration's ability to fulfill its promises regarding a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, incentives for domestic bitcoin mining, and other related issues. The broader market may also benefit as it enters the expansionary phase of the bitcoin four-year historical cycle, which typically sees explosive growth in its final year.
It remains to be seen whether this new administration will alter the market cycles that the cryptocurrency sector has become accustomed to or if it will signify a significant departure from historical trends.