Large Oil Short Positions Established Before U.S.-Iran Agreement News

A significant transaction involving oil short positions occurred shortly before news of a potential U.S.-Iran agreement was reported. According to Odaily, market analysis by The Kobeissi Letter revealed that approximately $920 million worth of oil short positions were established 70 minutes before Axios reported that the U.S. and Iran were nearing a consensus on a '14-point' agreement to end the war. At 3:40 a.m. Eastern Time (UTC+8 15:40), nearly 10,000 oil short contracts were created without any major news announcements, marking an unusually large transaction for that time. By 4:50 a.m. Eastern Time (UTC+8 16:40), Axios reported that the U.S. was 'close' to reaching a memorandum of understanding to end the conflict with Iran. By 7:00 a.m. Eastern Time (UTC+8 19:00), oil prices had dropped over 12%, resulting in a floating profit of approximately $125 million for the established short positions.