With the 2026 Academy Awards just around the corner, Polymarket's top award events include: - Best Picture, with over $29 million in trading volume, "World War I: The Second Battle" currently leading with a 76% probability; - Best Actor in a Feature Film, Michael B. Jordan currently leading with a 52% probability; - Best Director, Paul Thomas Anderson currently leading with a 93% probability; - Best Actress in a Feature Film, Jessie Buckley currently leading with a 97% probability; - Best Supporting Actress, Amy Madigan currently leading with a 52% probability; - Best Supporting Actor, Sean Penn currently leading with a 73% probability; - Best Cinematography, "World War I: The Second Battle" currently leading with a 73% probability; - Best Original Screenplay, Sinners currently leading with a 96% probability.