Greeks.live macro researcher Adam released this week’s major events and market trend outlook on the X platform (3/18-3/24):
This week is an important macro week, and many major central banks, including the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision, will announce interest rate decisions. Although the market generally expected the same, the interest rate results and related central bank statements are still worthy of attention. The economic data in the United States are strong, and the results this time are likely to remain unchanged, but the impact of the Nvidia AI Conference on U.S. stocks is even more important. The BTC ETF is completely leading the crypto trend, and despite falling into a pullback last week, the bull market fundamentals remain strong.
3/18 Monday*
CME Group launches euro-denominated Bitcoin and Ethereum futures
NVIDIA AI Conference GTC
3/19 Tuesday*
The Bank of Japan announced its interest rate decision and the Reserve Bank of Australia announced its interest rate decision.
3/20 Wednesday*
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde delivers a speech
Thursday 3/21***
Fed interest rate decision
Number of Americans filing initial jobless claims this week
Bank of England interest rate decision
BTC fell into a correction last week, driving the entire market to be relatively weak, with BTC Dvol falling back to 75%. At the same time, with the explosion and rapid flameout of Meme, market sentiment has calmed down, and market IV may not hit a new high in the short term. The cost of buying options has dropped, and it is still an option with a higher profit-loss ratio than futures.
In the crypto interest rate market, large spot investors are gradually reducing their leverage, and the green leaf interest rate market is relatively sluggish.