The ongoing disruptions in the Hormuz Strait have not yet led to a collapse in oil demand, as wealthy nations are utilizing reserves and paying high prices to secure supply. According to Odaily, traders are now warning of an imminent significant reduction in demand. They indicate that the longer the Hormuz Strait remains closed, the more consumption will need to be adjusted downward to align with a supply decrease of at least 10%. Achieving this will require reduced purchasing, either due to unaffordable prices or through government intervention to curb consumption.
Saad Rahim, Chief Economist at Trafigura Group, noted that demand destruction is occurring in less visible pricing centers. This reduction is already underway, but if the situation persists, the scale of demand reduction will only increase. The market is at a critical turning point.