Prediction markets show 38% of traders betting on Ethereum (ETH) reaching $4,000 by the end of July, making it the most probable outcome according to data from Polymarket as of July 29. Higher price targets attract considerably less conviction from traders. Ethereum hitting $4,200 draws only 8% probability, while the $4,500 level commands just 2% confidence from market participants. Meanwhile, more severe downside scenarios show minimal support
source: https://finbold.com/traders-predict-ethereum-price-for-august-1-2025/