Probability of Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire by March 2026 Declines

The likelihood of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by March 31, 2026, has decreased to 2%, according to Odaily. The prediction market for this event has seen a 24-hour trading volume of approximately $355,000, with a total trading volume reaching $24.726 million. Previously, the probability of a ceasefire had increased, but it has been steadily declining this month. Despite the growing trading volume, mainstream traders continue to view a short-term ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine as a highly unlikely event. Odaily Seer continues to monitor prediction markets, observing changes before pricing.