Mizuho Securities: Government Subsidies to Mitigate Japan's Energy Cost Impact Amid Middle East Conflict

Mizuho Securities economists have indicated that despite the significant upward pressure on oil prices due to the Middle East conflict, government subsidies are expected to largely offset the impact on Japan's energy costs. According to Jin10, the economists noted that the effects on commodities, particularly food, will gradually become apparent, with inflation in these categories anticipated to peak between the spring and summer of 2027, implying a lag of four to six quarters. They further stated that due to the expected time required for securing the safety of the Strait of Hormuz and the full normalization of transportation, crude oil prices are likely to remain high in the short term.