以太坊的原生代币 Ether（以太币 ) 在今年 6 月 13 日的去中心化加密货币交易所 Uniswap 上跌至 950 美元，大约比其即期汇率低 20% 在其他交易所。
事件发生在世界标准时间 03:00 左右，此前鲸鱼抛售了 65,000 ETH 用于多个“稳定币”，包括 USD Coin（美国中央银行 ), 系绳 (泰达币 ) 和戴 (快点 ).
一个证据著名的 鲸鱼出售了其持有的 ETH，以偿还 DeFi 借贷平台 Oasis.app 上价值近 7300 万美元的债务。在抛售期间，ETH 的清算价格从 1,200 美元跌至 875 美元。
不是清算，有人出售抵押品来偿还债务https://t.co/tceIla0xuFpic.twitter.com/KwIholu1St
— mariano.eth ✨ᕙ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ᕗ✨ | （@nanexcool）2022 年 6 月 13 日
Oasis 借款人继续疯狂抛售——在第一次抛售五小时后再次抛售近 28,000 ETH——以偿还另外 3200 万美元的债务。这一次，强平价格从 892 美元涨到了 1200 美元，如下图。
结果，鲸鱼在短短六个小时内抛售了约 93,000 ETH。按 6 月 13 日的 ETH/USD 价格计算，该金额约为 1.12 亿美元。
有趣的是，Oasis 借款人的未偿债务总额约为 1.2 亿美元（以 DAI 稳定币衡量），这表明鲸鱼遭受严重的“滑点”损失 .
wtf…这是误点击吗？https://t.co/POURtN4F6s
——乔纳森·霍华德 (@staringispolite)2022 年 6 月 13 日
以太币短暂升至 950 美元，表明对该水平附近的代币有足够的需求。尽管如此，资深交易员 Peter Brandt 的一项单独分析尖 未来几周 ETH 的价格将跌向 650 美元。
Brandt 的看跌前景源于经典的延续模式，被称为“下降三角形”，在价格朝之前的趋势方向突破后消退。
由于以太币在三角形形成之前下跌，其阻力最小的路径偏向下行。
Brandt 表示，随着 6 月 13 日价格下跌 20%，ETH 已达到三角形的第一个下行目标 1,268 美元。他预计下跌将继续，ETH 将再下跌近 50% 至 667 美元。
尽管如此，以太的超卖相对强度指数 (RSI) 可能导致价格急剧反转。以太坊从其 200 周简单移动平均线（200 周 SMA；下图中的橙色波浪）附近的 1,200 美元附近获得额外的反弹线索，现在作为支撑。
如果 ETH 价格经历上行回撤，那么该代币的中期牛市目标可能接近 1,450 美元，与从 1,450 美元左右的摆动高点到 84 美元的摆动低点绘制的斐波那契回撤图的 1.00 斐波那契线重合。
相关： Celsius exodus：向 FTX 发送了 3.2 亿美元的加密货币，用户提款暂停
相反，如果收盘价跌破 200 周均线，则 ETH 可能会将 920 美元作为其下一个下行目标。
此处表达的观点和意见仅代表作者个人观点，并不一定反映 Cointelegraph.com 的观点。每一项投资和交易都涉及风险，您在做出决定时应该进行自己的研究。
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