比特币上周回升至 22,000 美元，令投资者感到意外。对于数字资产而言，这是一个出人意料的举动，但毫无疑问，它在那段时间对市场情绪产生了很好的影响。从那以后，加密货币失去了从复苏中获得的很大一部分收益，但回顾那个时期的未平仓合约，就会发现复苏背后的原因。
比特币未平仓合约在过去一周大幅飙升。鉴于上一次复苏也是在未平仓合约激增的背景下出现的，这并不奇怪。最值得注意的是，未平仓合约在 7 月 8 日创下历史新高，恰逢比特币显着复苏之时。
相关阅读 | Celsius Network 偿还了它的 Aave 债务，这是它还欠多少钱
数据显示，当日持仓量触及新高352,722 BTC。正如预期的那样，这个数字迅速下降，与之前反弹至历史新高后的走势没有太大区别。然而，这表明新的未平仓头寸 ATH 飙升已将价格反弹至 22,000 美元。更具体地说，支持这一举措的是衍生品交易员。
支持衍生品交易商推动飙升的另一个重要消息是离岸基差。截至周五，CME 的跌幅已从之前的 2.5% 跌至 1%。在触及 22,000 美元以上后，比特币价格同样出现下跌。
持仓量飙升至历史新高|来源：奥术研究
以比特币计价的未平仓合约仍然保持高位。即使在下跌之后，它仍设法维持在 330,00 BTC。这使其处于 6 月 13 日的高点，这是继上个月飙升至 23,000 美元之后的高点。
随着价格突破 22,000 美元，市场出现了一些急需的稳定。这绝不意味着波动性已经完全消除，但在 7 天的基础上，比特币的波动性已经能够稳定在 2.7%。与 4.6% 的 30 天波动范围相比，它相当低，为接下来的 30 天定下了基调。
相关阅读 | 比特币挖矿难度连续第二次下调
波动性暴跌背后有许多因素，它们与引发熊市的事件息息相关。一个例子是三箭资本清算的后果。随着清算申请的提交，鉴于这家对冲基金的命运正在决定中，市场现在已经开始回归正常。
BTC 收于 20,000 美元以上 |来源：TradingView.com 上的 BTCUSD
其他包括申请第 11 章破产保护的 Voyager Digital 和 Celsius 等借贷平台。这两个平台让投资者保持警惕的时间最长，没有关于何时收回资金的消息，破产申请至少显示了解决问题的途径。它是好是坏还有待观察。
尽管如此，这段相对平静的时期预计不会持续下去。由于通胀数字如此之高以及全球经济紧张，未来几个月可能会出现大幅波动。
特色图片来自 Arcane Research 和 TradingView.com 的图表
跟随推特上的最佳 Owie获取市场洞察、更新和偶尔的有趣推文……
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