PolyBeats Releases Report on Prediction Markets Amid Russia-Ukraine Conflict

On February 14, PolyBeats, a research brand under BlockBeats, released an analysis report on prediction markets related to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. According to BlockBeats, the report examines 79 events from the 'Russia-Ukraine Occupation' series on the Polymarket platform, analyzing data from 23,316 unique blockchain addresses and over 3.09 million transaction records. Through dual models focusing on behavior and capital concentration, the report identifies suspicious accounts with highly concentrated transactions, unusually stable win rates (80%-93%), and profits significantly deviating from typical retail characteristics. The current prediction markets have evolved beyond simple betting tools, serving as a bridge between blockchain data and news discovery. The report aims to demonstrate how prediction markets can capture real geopolitical signals through abnormal on-chain trading behavior. PolyBeats applies this methodology for real-time monitoring and has successfully validated it across multiple domains. The full report is available on the BlockBeats website and the PolyBeats public account 'PolyBeats Truth Platform.'