Polymarket has added a new article titled "When Will Powell Step Down as Fed Chair?", with a preliminary probability of 20% for the event occurring between June 6th and 12th.

Odaily Seer's monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new event, "When will Powell step down as Fed Chair?" Currently, the highest probability (20%) is between June 6th and 12th, followed by May 30th to June 5th (18%). The event contract rules state that this market will settle based on a specified date range for Powell's resignation as Fed Chair. "Resignation" means Powell is no longer effectively serving as Fed Chair. An announcement of Powell's resignation or dismissal does not alone qualify. The scheduled end of Powell's term does not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as interim chair (e.g., until a successor is confirmed), he will not be considered to have resigned. This market is limited to the period during which Powell serves as Fed Chair. Powell's status as a regular member of the Fed Board of Governors does not affect the settlement of this market. All dates are in Eastern Time. Odaily Seer continuously monitors the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing in.