Bitcoin's weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) has fallen to a historically low 25.7, echoing extreme oversold signals observed during deep bear phases in 2018 and 2022. According to NS3.AI, despite these indicators, market data reveals ongoing significant realized losses and dominant selling by weaker holders. Meanwhile, whales are accumulating Bitcoin, suggesting the cryptocurrency is in a late-stage repair and base-building phase.
ETF outflows have exceeded $4.5 billion this year, contributing to a defensive market environment. Futures bears continue to exert control, resulting in thin liquidity and cautious behavior among options players. The current market conditions reflect a period of uncertainty and strategic repositioning among investors.