Tesla's Autonomous Driving Prospects Influence Market Predictions

According to BlockBeats, the prediction market regarding whether Tesla will launch fully autonomous driving (FSD) without supervision by December 31 has seen significant fluctuations. Since its creation on May 30, the probability has dropped from a high of 75% to just 7% as of the morning of the 14th Eastern Time. However, on the same morning, several users on X reported sightings of a Tesla Model Y Robotaxi operating autonomously in Austin, Texas, without any occupants inside. Tesla's AI head, Ashok Elluswamy, shared the video of the driverless vehicle, commenting, "And so it begins!" This was interpreted by the market as a sign that Tesla might soon release the unsupervised FSD. Following this development, the market probability surged nearly eightfold, peaking at 54% before settling at 24%. During this surge, a user named sanqo, who could have profited over 200%, maintained his position without any changes. He began purchasing "yes" in this market three months ago at an average price of 17 cents, currently holding a floating profit of 79%. His only other transaction was a successful bet on whether Tesla would launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31, which yielded a 187% profit.