最近短期 BTC 持有者的激增可能预示着卖家的“最后冲刺”，这意味着投降事件已经结束，让市场准备好进行数月的增持。
最新的链上周刊报告 市场分析公司 Glassnode 8 月 15 日指出，短期持有者 (STH) 增持 33 万比特币 自五月以来灾难性的 LUNA 崩溃 .因此，它们可能是煤矿中的金丝雀，预示着市场复苏之路。
在 5 月至 6 月开始的大规模抛售期间，比特币 (BTC) 通过以 20,000 美元或低于 20,000 美元的价格购买极便宜的代币，建立了一种新趋势，这使它们处于“有利的财务状况”。
在一场戏剧性的投降事件之后，所有权结构#比特币 已重塑。
随着市场抛售，$比特币 从较弱的手转移到那些在低点介入的人。在这里，我们探讨了如何使用年龄段来跟踪硬币的这种迁移。https://t.co/xBxdvALRmZ
- 玻璃节点（@glassnode）2022 年 8 月 15 日
该报告指出，自 5 月以来长期持有者 (LTH) 流出约 200,000 枚代币和交易所净流出似乎是导致 STH 供应膨胀的主要原因。总之，这些事件表明投降 已经发生，STH“在冲出过程中介入，现在拥有成本基础低得多的代币。”
STH 被定义为持有 BTC 不超过 154 天的钱包。他们在 155 天时成为 LTH。
通常，STH买硬币 处于或接近历史高位并以低得多的价格卖出，因为“极端的 STH 增持通常与牛市的顶部形成同时发生。”但 Glassnode 表示，5 月和 6 月的买家在逆势而上形成了“建设性分歧”。
“此类事件描述了将硬币转移给最初被归类为 STH 的新买家，但成本基础较低，但从那时起对 HODL 而言处于有利的财务状况，”它补充道。
Glassnode 建议，分析师必须关注的市场好转的下一个方面是 5 月和 6 月的新 STH 是否“有信心坚持下去”并推动价格进一步上涨。
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